Tuesday, April 12, 2011
One of our readers destroys the 'study' that the new Title IX sexual assault directive relies on
Yesterday, we posted a very important story about the new Title IX directive that is going to change how rape cases are handled on U.S. college campuses. We noted that the U.S. Education Department's Office for Civil Rights has just done something most people would not have thought possible. It's made college campuses even less friendly for male students. Among many other things, they've lowered the standard of proof for sexual assault cases -- from now on, to be in compliance with Title IX, at a grievance hearing on a sexual assault charge, the school need only prove the male's responsibility by a preponderance of the evidence.
A reader to this blog -- I can vouch for this man's brilliance -- destroys the rape study that this new Title IX directive cites. If you want to know how dishonest our own government can be when the subject is rape, read this. The following are the words of our reader:
So I was reading FRS today, and following some links on that incredible Title IX stuff, and I soon realized that the “study” Biden and others are citing right now is a new one — one I’d never seen before. So I decided to take a look.
http://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles1/nij/grants/221153.pdf
It took me about three minutes to realize that it was bullshit.
Never mind the first paragraph of the Executive Summary, which reads like it was crafted by the director of a rape crisis center. And never mind that the (ahem) research was done by a bunch of academics whose objectivity can immediately be called into question. And focus instead on this little nugget:
To recruit the students who were sampled to participate in the CSA Study, we relied on both recruitment e-mails and hard copy recruitment letters that were mailed to potential respondents. Sampled students were sent an initial recruitment e-mail that described the study, provided each student with a unique CSA Study ID#, and included a hyperlink to the CSA Study Web site. During each of the following 2 weeks, students who had not completed the survey were sent a follow-up e-mail encouraging them to participate. The third week, nonrespondents were mailed a hard-copy recruitment letter. Two weeks after the hard-copy letters were mailed, nonrespondents were sent a final recruitment e-mail. The overall response rates for survey completion for the undergraduate women sampled at the two universities were 42.2% and 42.8%, respectively.
So, in other words: THE SURVEY RESPONDENTS WERE SELF-SELECTING.
Are you kidding me?
Are you fucking kidding me?
That, to put it mildly, is Statistics 101. Covered before the mid-term, and likely before the first pop quiz.
These people are so shameless, so utterly and totally full of themselves and of their own shit, that they don’t even bother to hide their bias. Or their incompetence. Either of which a college freshman, when she’s not being sexually assaulted before Thanksgiving, should be able to discern in an instant.
In the study, they claim to have “cleaned” the data to adjust for this — as if that’s fucking possible! — but then also have the gall to suggest that, well, this method may have had the opposite effect:
The reasons for nonresponse could affect prevalence estimates in opposing ways. Some nonrespondents (nonvictims) may have chosen not to participate because they felt that they had no relevant experience, whereas other respondents (victims) may have chosen not to participate because they anticipated that taking the survey might be upsetting to them.
You’ll excuse me, now, while I go throw up.
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14 comments:
Haha...I can picture the liberal feminazis on campus lining up to make up their own tales about sexual assault for the survey.
I am sure that the survey had its own questionable definition of sexual assault as well.
What has our country come to when in the last election we had to choose for VP between the likes of Sarah Palin and Joe Biden? It's hard to measure who is the greater idiot.
I want to hear the same people who always bellyache about Kanin's "methodology" (every feminist who discusses rape becomes a fucking sociologist) defend this "methodology."
My guess is they'll never even discuss it.
It's called a SLOP survey (self-selected listener opinion poll).
http://www.skepdic.com/selectionbias.html
Stanford LOWERs its standard of proof: http://www.stanforddaily.com/2011/04/12/stanford-lowers-standard-of-proof-for-sexual-assault/
Same for Brandeis: http://thebrandeishoot.com/articles/10159
Harvard and Yale feel heat to change, too: http://www.enterprisenews.com/opinions/opinions_columnists/x1302185116/Commentary-Harvard-Yale-feeling-the-heat-for-treatment-of-women
Most folks, including many MRA's don't want to look at the elephant in the living room. The new "American gender-Raunch community" are not "Empowering" themselves by extolling the virtues of "Gender-raunch"; they are "Empowering" themselves by perverting statistics, and attacking non-gender-Raunch (hetero-sexual males).
The mob that marched for castration during the Duke lacrosse false rape accusation, were not the girls lacrosse team folks...They were nearly all the "gender-raunch" community.
Folks wander why Im pissed off at the gender-Raunch community...well folks, i believe they threw the first stones.
I'm trying to figure out why you're against "preponderance of evidence".
Wouldn't that benefit you in a he/she said type rape case, since the woman dresses and acts like a slut?
"Wouldn't that benefit you in a he/she said type rape case, since the woman dresses and acts like a slut?"
Thanks for trolling here. Dressing and acting like a slut are never an excuse for rape. Never. Nice try. That was as ham-handed as a David Futrelle post.
Given the extremely serious nature of the punishment for sexual assault in college hearings, the appropriate standard is clear and convincing evidence, which requires unequivocal proof of wrongdoing. If you are going to deprive a college male of his freedom to graduate, apply for graduate school, and all the other things attendant to a determination of responsibility, then the higher standard of proof is appropriate.
Don't you want to be certain that the guy did it before you destroy his life? Or let me guess, you really don't, do you?
Anonymous said...
I'm trying to figure out why you're against "preponderance of evidence".
Wouldn't that benefit you in a he/she said type rape case, since the woman dresses and acts like a slut?
I SAY...this post is non linear, makes no sense. This above comment is about as linear of thinking as.."its raining outside, because monkeys don't eat tuna fish".
"If you are going to deprive a college male of his freedom to graduate, apply for graduate school, and all the other things attendant to a determination of responsibility"
then the powers that rule should make darn sure that he is guilty; i.e., the preponderence of evidence shows his guilt.
How is that not fair?
"i.e., the preponderence of evidence shows his guilt."
It's NOT fair because all it means is that there is a slight probability that he's guilty. There might be a reasonable doubt -- but he's STILL guilty. If we want to be sure he's guilty, it has to be a higher standard.
A preponderence of evidence shows MORE than a "slight chance" of guilt. It shows a preponderence, which is what you would get in a civil jury trial.
It's one of the foundations of justice.
Anon at 11:25: You're kidding, right? You would destroy these young men's lives with nothing more than a slight probability of guilt. Even if there were a reasonable doubt.
You do know, I am sure, that many states require clear and convincing evidence even to prove oral contracts, fraud and promissory estoppel. Get it? "He said/she said" type claims. The need for clear and convincing evidence is all the more necessary here where at stake is not just money damages but the future of young men.
Go troll somewhere else, please.
Anon at 11:25: You're kidding, right? You would destroy these young men's lives with nothing more than a slight probability of guilt. Even if there were a reasonable doubt.
You do know, I am sure, that many states require clear and convincing evidence even to prove oral contracts, fraud and promissory estoppel. Get it? "He said/she said" type claims. The need for clear and convincing evidence is all the more necessary here where at stake is not just money damages but the future of young men.
Go troll somewhere else, please.
@Freedom: "I am sure that the survey had its own questionable definition of sexual assault as well."
Have you ever had heterosexual intercourse?
That's probably what it was.
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